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June 15, 2010 at 10:26am

Much of Rochester's future will be decided in the next day or two

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If you're at all interested in Rochester's future, this is definitely not the week to sleep through.

First up: the transit center. City Council will vote tonight on whether to give up Mortimer Street so RGRTA can build a bus station there. Council took a mostly symbolic vote last month to support the center, which was largely a stalling tactic so pro-transit center Council members, the administration, and RGRTA could muster the support they need for the "real" vote.

Prediction: the proposal needs seven (out of nine) votes to pass. Council member Carolee Conklin is opposed to the entire concept, so she's a sure "no." Unless something has changed drastically since May, Council President Lovely Warren and member Carla Palumbo will vote in favor. The rest: after some face-saving speeches criticizing the process and some elements of the project, and after pointing out that there's still opportunity for public input on design, they'll support it.

No. 2: the RBTL theater, another component of the failed Ren Square project. After repeatedly questioning how RBTL would fund and operate the theater - part of the reason why Ren Square collapsed - Mayor Bob Duffy found himself in the awkward position of vying for the theater with a number of suburban competitors. The list has been chiseled down, leaving only the former Medley Centre in Irondequoit and Midtown downtown. Almost everyone, and that includes RBTL, believes the theater belongs downtown. Expect RBTL officials to say so during a noon press conference today. Yes, there are money questions surrounding Midtown, but no more than what Irondequoit officials are facing re: Scott Congel's massive development plan. Prediction: RBTL stays downtown.

No. 3: Brockport. I covered this community for a few years, and what I can tell you with certainty is that nothing is certain out there. Brockport residents go the polls today to decide whether to dissolve their village.

The biggest obstacle to dissolution, in my opinion, is the state law that allows a vote without a plan. In other words, residents are being asked to eliminate their village with no idea of what services they're going to lose, how their taxes are going to be affected, and whether they'll still have a police department, for example. Those are big questions to leave unanswered.

On the other hand, do not underestimate the anti-police department bloc. Brockport's relationship with its police is historically troubled and every so often, a half-heartened movement emerges to eliminate the department. Best guess: anything can happen, but if I were to go out on a limb, I say the village stays.

So, strap in. And stay tuned.

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